UAH in the spotlight: latest news

The article outlines the primary macroeconomic indicators for Ukraine and the global economy as of early October 2025. This analysis is based on recent data and trends affecting both regions.

In January 2026, the dollar reached a record high against the hryvnia, leading to diminishing advantages for purchasing foreign currency in Ukraine. The official exchange rate reflects ongoing economic challenges faced by the national currency.

The Kyiv School of Economics reports that Ukraine's macroeconomic outlook for the year has greatly improved, largely due to a substantial rise in external financial support, including a €90 billion loan from the European Union scheduled for December 19.

International aid is playing a crucial role in stabilizing Ukraine's economy, according to the KSE Institute. However, ongoing attacks on energy infrastructure pose a significant risk to this stability.

KYT Group analysts have released their second issue for January 2026, focusing on the current state of the Ukrainian currency market and offering a forecast for the hryvnia exchange rate against key currencies.

As January 2026 comes to an end, the Ukrainian scrap aluminum market is facing a seasonal slowdown. Average prices for aluminum have been affected by this winter lull.

On January 23, the Ukrainian Hryvnia gained strength, leading to a decrease in the exchange rates of both the Dollar and Euro. This development is part of the latest financial news concerning Ukraine and the global economy.

Ukrainian wheat prices have surged due to a deep freeze that has disrupted supply chains, leading to a reduction in export forecasts.

The National Bank of Ukraine has revised its GDP growth forecast for 2026, reducing it from 2% to 1.8%, according to the latest materials released by the bank.

Experts project that Ukraine's foreign currency earnings will suffer significant losses exceeding half a billion dollars in 2026 due to the suspension of sunflower oil exports, which has resulted from shelling by Russian occupiers.

The National Bank has revised its inflation forecast for 2026, increasing it from 6.6% to 7.5%. The bank noted that inflation is expected to remain moderate during that year.

Ukraine's National Bank predicts a moderate inflation rate of approximately 7.5% for 2026, despite ongoing challenges in the energy sector. The bank anticipates that inflation will decline to 5% in the following years.

The KSE Institute's Ukraine Macroeconomic Handbook for Q1 2026, released in January, evaluates Ukraine's economic outlook from 2025 to 2028. It highlights that international support is crucial for maintaining macroeconomic stability, although ongoing strikes on the energy infrastructure pose significant risks to this stability.

Kyivstar, Ukraine's largest mobile operator, reported a revenue and EBITDA increase of 24-26% for 2025, surpassing previously announced forecasts.

Demand for citrus fruits such as mandarins, oranges, and lemons remains strong in Ukraine. Analysts forecast that mandarin prices are expected to decline, while lemon prices may experience an increase.

AgroMarket UUB from the Ukrainian Universal Exchange has released updated grain price results for the period from January 19 to 26, 2026, according to agronews.ua.

The weather forecast for Ukraine on January 27 indicates cloudy skies, with a mix of wet snow and rain. Icy roads are expected, along with varying temperatures across different regions.

Fuel prices at gas stations in Ukraine are projected to increase by 2 hryvnias per liter in the coming one to two weeks.

A currency forecast for late January has been released, detailing the projected exchange rates for the Dollar and Euro. The report considers various global events, including the ongoing situation in Ukraine, which may impact these currencies.

Ukraine faces an annual loss of up to UAH 474 billion attributed to the 11 largest tax evasion schemes, highlighting significant concerns regarding fiscal accountability.

On January 23, 2026, the official exchange rates in Ukraine showed a decline in value, with the dollar decreasing by 1 kopeck and the euro falling by 14 kopecks. These figures have been confirmed by the National Bank of Ukraine and accurately represent the current market conditions.